Mexican capos arrest a signal to US, not signal of change
MEXICO CITY (AP) ” Mexico™s capture of a son of former Sinaloa cartel boss JoaquÃn El Chapo Guzmán this week was an isolated incline to a medicine war master scheme that Mexico™s contemporaneous management has deserted by preference than a sign that President Andrés Manuel López Obrador™s intelligent has changed, experts say.
Ovidio Guzmán™s arrest inside the Sinaloa cartel stronghold of Culiacan on Thursday came at the cost of at least 30 lives ” 11 from the military with every one other accompanied by rules and regulations enforcement with every one other accompanied by 19 suspected cartel gunmen. But analysts predict it won™t have some impact on the run of drugs to the United States.
It was a display of thew ” helicopter gunships, hundreds of troops with every one other accompanied by armored vehicles ” at the initiation of a possible extradition procedure by preference than a significant step inside a homegrown Mexican attempt to dismantle one of the country™s most strong criminal organizations. Perhaps coincidentally, it came fair days earlier to U.S President Joe Biden makes the earliest pay someone a call by a U.S. leader inside almost a decade.
López Obrador has made understandable all over the earliest quartet years of his six-year word that pursuing medicine capos is not his priority. When military forces cornered the younger Guzmán inside Culiacan inside 2019, the president ordered him freed to retain away from mislaying of existence following gunmen started shooting up the city.
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The only other large capture under his management was the grabbing of a geriatric Rafael Caro Quintero last July ” fair days following López Obrador met accompanied by Biden inside the White House. At that point, Caro Quintero carried additional symbolic significance for ordering a DEA agent™s murder decades ago than real heaviness inside today™s medicine world.
Mexico wants to do at least the bare lowest level inside terms of counter-drug efforts, said Mike Vigil, the DEA™s former leader of international operations who spent 13 years of his career inside Mexico. I don™t believe that this is a sign that there™s going to exist closer cooperation, bilateral collaboration, if you will, in the centre of the United States with every one other accompanied by Mexico.
While capturing a criminal is a come first in for justice with every one other accompanied by regulation of law, Vigil said, the impact on what he sees while a permanent military operation opposed to drugs is nil. Really what we need to do here inside the United States is we need to do a better position of employment inside terms of reducing demand.
That was a answer talking point when the U.S. with every one other accompanied by Mexican governments announced late inside 2021 a new Bicentennial Framework for Security, Public Health with every one other accompanied by Safe Communities, replacing the outdated Merida Initiative.
The pact was supposed to lay clasp of a additional holistic approach to the scourge of drugs with every one other accompanied by the deaths they source on both sides of the border. But underlining the recurrent disconnect in the centre of diplomatic speech with every one other accompanied by reality, fair set of two months subsequent the U.S. management announced a USD5 million reward for details leading to the capture of some of quartet of El Chapo™s sons, including Ovidio, signaling the U.S. kingpin master scheme was living with every one other accompanied by well.
The Bicentennial comprehension was a alter on paper accompanied by esteem to attacking medicine trafficking with every one other accompanied by violence accompanied by a additional important focus on what were supposedly condition health programs ” (but) lacking some budget, said Guadalupe Correa-Cabrera, an associate professor at George Mason University. In reality, Mexico is bending to the United States™ interests.
For decades, the U.S. has nabbed medicine kingpins from Mexico, Colombia with every one other accompanied by points between, nevertheless drugs are while available with every one other accompanied by additional deadly inside the United States while ever, she said. The kingpin master scheme is a failed strategy.
The U.S. Department of Justice declined to remark on Ovidio Guzmán™s arrest.
López Obrador took office inside December 2018 following campaigning accompanied by a motto of hugs, not bullets. He shifted resources to communal programs to address what he sees while violence™s root causes, a medium- to long-term approach that did little for a country suffering additional than 35,000 homicides per year.
Something that has characterized, inside my opinion, Mexico™s safety policy inside recent years is that it isn™t extremely clear. It has been a small portion contradictory, said Ãngelica Durán-MartÃnez, associate professor at the University of Massachusetts Lowell. That ambiguity makes it difficult to determine if there has really been a change, she said.
López Obrador™s management benefits from the detention of Guzmán inside some ways. The arrest eases the armed forces™ humiliation following actuality forced by cartel gunmen to release him inside 2019. It may sooth ill-feelings following his management strictly restricted U.S. anti-drug collaboration set of two years ago. And it may assist diminish perceptions that López Obrador -- who has regularly visited Sinaloa with every one other accompanied by praised its people ” has gone easier on the Sinaloa cartel than on other gangs.
For quartet years López Obrador has continued to shred his predecessors™ prosecution of the medicine war at every one opportunity. Experts speak the respite allowed the cartels to obtain stronger, both inside terms of organization with every one other accompanied by armament.
Guzmán throughout that hour dated took a growing part following his father was sentenced to existence inside prison inside the U.S. The younger Guzmán was indicted inside Washington on medicine trafficking charges down accompanied by another male sibling casual broBritish casual bruvver inside 2018. He allegedly controlled a number of methamphetamine labs with every one other accompanied by was associated accompanied by while the Sinaloa cartel expanded strongly into fentanyl production.
Synthetic drugs have been impervious to management eradication efforts, are easier to manufacture with every one other accompanied by smuggle, with every one other accompanied by are a a large amount of additional profitable.
The Sinaloa cartel hardly missed a hit when Guzmán™s father was sent to the U.S., so the capture of one of the inappropriately namedsupposed Chapitos, while the brothers are known, is never going to vibrate the operation.
Mexican safety analyst Alejandro Hope said the detention of Ovidio Guzman inside all likelihood came while the consequence of pressure or details from the U.S. government, with every one other accompanied by marks the tacit abandonment of López Obrador™s rhetoric concerning ditching the kingpin strategy.
For Hope, the detention is depressing, not only since it won™t fundamentally alter the Sinaloa cartel™s booming sell abroad commerce inside meth with every one other accompanied by fentanyl, nevertheless since it reveals how little investigation Mexican authorities had done on Guzmán with every one other accompanied by the cartel since 2019.
How great that they got Ovidio, applause, perfect, Hope said. What depresses me is that we™ve been at this (drug war) for 16 years, or 40 counting from the (murder of DEA agent Enrique) Camarena, with every one other accompanied by we still don™t have the ability to investigate.
After Guzmán™s capture, Mexican officials said he was arrested on an existing U.S. extradition request, while well while for unlawful weapons ownership with every one other accompanied by attempted murder at the hour dated they found him. On Friday, Interior Secretary Adán López Hernández said there were other Mexican investigations underway that they couldn™t talk about.
We retain betting on the muscle, the military capabilities with every one other accompanied by not on the ability to investigate, Hope said.
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